Prebuilt portfolios
Not themes off a shelf — each of these is a question asked of public filings, and the answer is its holdings. Start one and it keeps asking: a company that stops being a top contractor drops out on its own, and the portfolio rebalances without you.
Steady
Thirty per cent shares, seventy per cent bonds and gold. The one that moves least, and gains least.
6 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+102.35% since 2014 · 5.69% a year · worst fall −20.56%
- BondsBND40.0%
- US sharesVTI20.0%
- Shares outside the USVXUS10.0%
- Inflation-linked bondsTIP10.0%
- Long treasuriesTLT10.0%
- GoldGLD10.0%
Balanced
Sixty per cent shares, forty per cent bonds — the split a pension fund would recognise, spread across US, developed and emerging markets.
7 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+159.22% since 2014 · 7.77% a year · worst fall −22.94%
- US sharesVTI36.0%
- BondsBND26.0%
- Shares outside the USVXUS20.0%
- Bonds outside the USBNDX6.0%
- Long treasuriesTLT5.0%
- PropertyVNQ4.0%
- GoldGLD3.0%
Adventurous
Ninety per cent shares. More of everything, in both directions — a long horizon and a strong stomach.
6 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+269.58% since 2014 · 10.81% a year · worst fall −31.23%
- US sharesVTI50.0%
- Shares outside the USVXUS28.0%
- BondsBND7.0%
- PropertyVNQ6.0%
- US large-cap technologyQQQ6.0%
- GoldGLD3.0%
Three Funds
The whole listed world in three decisions: US shares, shares everywhere else, and bonds. Nothing clever, and hard to beat.
4 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+212.09% since 2014 · 9.35% a year · worst fall −29.86%
- US sharesVTI48.0%
- Shares outside the USVEA22.0%
- BondsLQD20.0%
- Emerging-market sharesVWO10.0%
Weatherproof
Built to lose less when shares fall rather than to win when they rise: a third in shares, the rest in long treasuries, corporate bonds and gold. The idea Bridgewater made famous, at index-fund prices.
5 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+114.94% since 2014 · 6.19% a year · worst fall −27.25%
- Long treasuriesTLT40.0%
- US sharesVTI24.0%
- Corporate bondsLQD15.0%
- GoldGLD15.0%
- Shares outside the USVEA6.0%
Four Quarters
A quarter each in shares, long treasuries, gold and short-dated municipal bonds — one for each thing an economy can do to you. Harry Browne's idea, and the simplest allocation anybody has defended for fifty years.
4 holdings · 25.0% each · from Index funds, fixed weights
+133.43% since 2014 · 6.88% a year · worst fall −20.61%
- US sharesVTI25.0%
- Long treasuriesTLT25.0%
- GoldGLD25.0%
- Standing in for cashMUB25.0%
Income
For a portfolio meant to pay out rather than grow: corporate and municipal bonds, property, and enough shares to keep up with prices.
5 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+93.05% since 2014 · 5.30% a year · worst fall −24.02%
- Corporate bondsLQD30.0%
- Municipal bondsMUB20.0%
- US sharesVTI20.0%
- Long treasuriesTLT15.0%
- PropertyVNQ15.0%
Whole World
Every listed company on earth in one fund, with bonds behind it. The least opinionated portfolio it is possible to hold: no view on which country wins.
3 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+145.82% since 2014 · 7.32% a year · worst fall −22.15%
- Shares everywhereVT60.0%
- BondsBND30.0%
- Bonds outside the USBNDX10.0%
Dividend
Companies with a record of paying and raising dividends, plus property and bonds. For a portfolio meant to hand you something while you wait.
5 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+194.82% since 2014 · 8.87% a year · worst fall −26.11%
- Dividend sharesSCHD VIG VYM65.0%
- BondsBND25.0%
- PropertyVNQ10.0%
Inflation Guard
The things that tend to hold their value when money does not: inflation-linked bonds, commodities, gold and property, with shares for the long run.
6 holdings · from Index funds, fixed weights
+154.67% since 2014 · 7.62% a year · worst fall −20.88%
- US sharesVTI30.0%
- Inflation-linked bondsTIP25.0%
- PropertyVNQ15.0%
- CommoditiesDBC10.0%
- GoldGLD10.0%
- BondsBND10.0%
The federal contractors
The twenty listed companies paid the most by the federal government, equally weighted.
20 holdings · 5.0% each · from USAspending contract awards
What Congress is buying
The twenty companies members of Congress disclosed buying most of over the last year, equally weighted. Not one member's book — all of them at once.
20 holdings · 5.0% each · from House and Senate periodic transaction reports
What the whales hold
The twenty largest positions across every 13F we track, equally weighted — where the big institutional money actually sits.
20 holdings · 5.0% each · from Quarterly 13F filings
Washington's biggest lobbyists
The twenty listed companies that spent the most lobbying Congress, equally weighted — the ones paying most to be heard.
20 holdings · 5.0% each · from Senate lobbying disclosures
The best-paid bosses
The twenty companies with the largest single-year chief executive package on file, equally weighted. Whether that is a sign of confidence or of excess is the interesting part.
20 holdings · 5.0% each · from Pay-versus-performance tables in proxy statements
How these are built
Each holds twenty companies, equally weighted. Equal weight because the alternative — weighting by the number behind the ranking — would put most of the contractors into one name, and because those numbers are not comparable across portfolios: contract dollars for one, a pay package for another. The rankings come from filings we parse ourselves, and a portfolio only appears here if its data can actually support twenty holdings.